Below Average Hurricane Season Forecast For 2017

On Thursday 6th April, 2017, researchers group at Colorado State University issued their preliminary predictions for the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

This year, it is forecasted that we can expect a less active season with eleven (11) named storms. Preliminary predictions indicates that four (4) will become hurricanes and two (2) will become major hurricanes (Category 3 or 5).  This is attributed to the potential of a weak to moderate El Nino developing during the peak of the season. The term El Niño refers to the large-scale ocean-atmosphere climate interaction linked to a periodic warming in sea surface temperatures across the central and east-central Equatorial Pacific.

An average season in the Atlantic consists of twelve (12) named storms, six (6) hurricanes and two (2) major hurricanes. 

This year as part of Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies’ (DDME’s) Hurricane Preparedness Month Campaign under the theme “Are You Ready for The Unexpected!,” the DDME would like to encourage all residents, businesses, schools, government and non-government organization to prepare effectively and not to become complacent due to the preliminary predictions.  It only takes one storm to make a memorable season!

The 2017 Hurricane Season begins on June 1 and runs through November 30 2017.  Further predictions will be provided on June 1, July 3 and August 2, 2017. 


For additional information see biographies for EMAP Assessors attached or visit the EMAP website at