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public notice: weather forecast and tropical weather outlook september 25 2023

BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS  3-DAY PUBLIC FORECAST

BAHAMAS 3-DAY PUBLIC FORECAST FOR 6:00 AM, TODAY AND TONIGHT, MONDAY, 25TH SEPTEMBER, 2023, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY.

GENERAL SITUATION:  STREAMING TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE SOME UNSETTLED WEATHER TODAY. MEANWHILE, MODERATE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZES ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

SPECIAL WARNINGS:  MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY. BEACHGOERS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ISLANDS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO A MARGINAL RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG EASTERN SHORELINES. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN FLOOD-PRONE AND LOW-LYING AREAS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

AREA – SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS:

WEATHER: PARTLY SUNNY, HOT AND HUMID WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO BECOMING FAIR AND WARM AT NIGHT WITH A STRAY SHOWER POSSIBLE.

ADVISORY: A SMALL CRAFT CAUTION IS IN EFFECT DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF SWELLS. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN OR NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

AREA – NORTHWEST & CENTRAL BAHAMAS:

WEATHER: VARIABLY CLOUDY, WARM AND HUMID WITH FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A PASSING SHOWER TONIGHT.

ADVISORY: EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN OR NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

SEAS: 1 TO 3 FEET OVER OPEN WATER BUT UP TO 5 FEET IN MODERATE EASTERLY SWELLS ALONG ATLANTIC COASTS. 

HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY: 90°F / 32°C

LOW TEMPERATURE TONIGHT: 75°F / 24°C

SUNRISE:  6:59 AM

SUNSET:   7:02 PM

MOONRISE: 4:43 PM

MOONSET: 3:46 AM TUE.

LOW TIDE: 10:35 AM

HIGH TIDE: 5:03 PM

LOW TIDE: 11:33 PM

HIGH TIDE: 5:29 AM TUE.

EXTENDED FORECAST (FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS): MODERATE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS OUR AREA SUPPORTING FRESH BREEZES. MEANWHILE, RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE POCKETS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE ISLANDS.

FORECAST FOR TUESDAY:

WEATHER: IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS, MOSTLY CLOUDY, WARM AND HUMID WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS BECOMING FAIR AND WARM AT NIGHT.

WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS BUT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SEAS: 1 TO 3 FEET NEARSHORE BUT UP TO 5 FEET ALONG EASTERN SHORELINES.

FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY:

WEATHER: FOR ALL AREAS: IN THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS, MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS AT NIGHT. ELSEWHERE, PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS BECOMING FAIR AND MUGGY AT NIGHT. 

WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS BUT SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

.SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET NEARSHORE AND IN SHELTERED AREAS.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:   THERE ARE TWO (2) AREAS BEING MONITORED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN.  (1) SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO: DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

(2) EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL91): AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.