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public notice: weather forecast update at 12 noon november 16 2023

BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS PUBLIC FORECAST

PUBLIC FORECAST FOR 12:00 PM, THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, THURSDAY, 16TH NOVEMBER, 2023, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY.

GENERAL SITUATION: A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTH FLORIDA COAST, ALONG WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS, DRAGGING TROPICAL MOISTURE AND SUPPORTING BOUTS OF UNSETTLED WEATHER AS IT PROGRESSIVELY MOVES NORTHEASTWARD. MEANWHILE, A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING STRONG TO GALE FORCES WINDS AND LIFE THREATENING MARINE CONDITIONS. 

SPECIAL WARNINGS: ⚠ A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. SEVERE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS. ⚠ MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND BEACHGOERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN ONSHORE DUE TO DANGEROUSLY HIGH SEAS, VERY ROUGH SURF AND HAZARDOUS RIP CURRENTS. WATERSPOUT OR TORNADIC ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS AND PEDESTRIANS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHILE TRAVERSING COASTAL ROADS DUE TO OVER-TOPPING WAVES AND SEA SPRAY.  MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION DUE TO EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS AS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

AREA:  FOR THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CACIOS ISLANDS

WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY, HUMID AND VERY BREEZY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. SHOWERS CAN BECOME HEAVY AND THUNDERSTORMS STRONG TO SEVERE AT TIMES.

ADVISORY: A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. EXPECT REDUCED VISIBILITY, HIGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS IN OR NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS: SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

SEAS: 7 TO 10 FEET IN EASTERLY AND NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS.

AREA: FOR THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS

WEATHER: CLOUDY TO OCCASIONALLY OVERCAST, HUMID AND WINDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. SHOWERS CAN BE HEAVY AND THUNDERSTORMS STRONG TO SEVERE AT TIMES.

ADVISORY: BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. 

WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO STRONG GALE FORCE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.  SOUTH-SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE CENTRAL AND REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.

SEAS: 8 TO 12 FEET BUT UP TO 16 FEET ALONG ATLANTIC EXPOSURES.

THURSDAY’S HIGH TEMPERATURE: 79°F / 26°C

OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE:   72°F / 22°C

SUNSET: 5:21 PM

SUNRISE: 6:27 AM FRI.

MOONSET: 8:13 PM

MOONRISE: 10:43 AM FRI.

LOW TIDE: 4:02 PM / 3:48 AM FRI.

HIGH TIDE: 9:47 PM / 10:18 AM FRI.

WEATHER OUTLOOK (FOR TOMORROW): BOUTS OF UNSETTLED WEATHER AND STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BAHAMAS AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE BAHAMAS. HOWEVER, AN AREA OF POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT, CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA, IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INTO THE WATERS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN ISLANDS AND RESIDENTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS (INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS) ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR FOR ANY FURTHER UPDATES FROM THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY.